The long par 4 is a par 4.5. Two smart shots and a chip beat the field and dodge the double.
Forcing a hero long-iron or fairway wood at a green it was never designed to hold, then short-siding into a bunker with no easy fourth.
On the toughest par 4s, the field's average is close to bogey. Trying to make an unlikely par here mostly manufactures doubles; laying up to a full wedge turns a scramble into a routine bogey, sometimes par.
Play it as a short par 5. Advance the second to your favorite wedge distance, short of the front trouble, and take your chip. Two putts is a good score here.
≈ 0.4-0.6 strokes per hole by taking double bogey out of play.
Strokes-saved figures are approximate, based on expected-value (strokes-gained) course management for a mid-handicap golfer (roughly 8-18). These are real ranges, not guarantees.
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